The Low Block Revival
Nottingham Forest, Brentford, and Crystal Palace — three of the most organised defensive units in this season's division — have collectively beaten all three of Arsenal, City, and Liverpool at least once this season. Their method is consistent: compact shape in a 4-4-2 or 5-4-1 mid-block, quick transitions through a physical striker willing to run in behind, and set-piece delivery that exploits the pressing teams' vulnerability to a standing start.
The evolution of the low block is not simply defending deeper — it is defending with an organised counter-press that immediately disrupts the attacking team once possession is lost. Forest, in particular, have become expert at winning second balls and launching rapid transitions within two passes, minimising the time between winning the ball and threatening the goal.
Who Is Winning the Battle?
At the top of the table, the pressing sides lead — as you would expect. But the margins have narrowed. The average goals-per-game differential between pressing and compact teams was 0.8 in 2023-24; this season it is 0.4. The lesson is not that pressing is wrong, but that the low block is a more viable tactical weapon than it was. As data analytics improve defensive organisation, the gap between elite and competent will continue to close.